The Cryptographic Time Bomb: How Every 25-Year Security Cycle Creates Its Own Destroyer

Here's what history whispers about the quantum-Bitcoin collision: Every encryption standard dies twice - first in the minds of cryptographers who see its theoretical vulnerability, then in reality when someone builds the machine to exploit it. The 1970s DES encryption lived 20 years before theoretical attacks, then another decade before practical ones. RSA has lasted 40 years because we kept increasing key sizes, but Bitcoin's fixed elliptic curve cryptography has no such luxury. The real pattern isn't technological - it's psychological. Humans always underestimate how quickly "theoretical" threats become "practical" ones. The same way the 1990s internet pioneers never imagined today's cybercrime, Bitcoin's creators never imagined quantum computers would move from laboratory curiosity to existential threat within two decades. The cryptocurrency projects that survive won't be the ones with the best quantum cryptography - they'll be the ones that understand this pattern and build adaptability into their very architecture, just as the internet survived by evolving rather than resisting change.
—Ada H. Pemberley, Correspondent for Trigger Events
Published November 21, 2025